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Mr Doyin Okupe, former Director General of the Labour Party’s Presidential Campaign Council, has analysed how the party’s presidential candidate, Mr Peter Obi, will win the 2023 presidential election.
TheNewsGuru.com (TNG) reports Okupe dropped the analysis on Tuesday while faulting projections by ThisDay Election Center that projected the Labour Party presidential candidate to lose the election.
In his analysis, Okupe projected Mr Peter Obi to win and lead massively in the South East, including all states in the South South. In the South West, Okupe projected Peter Obi to score a minimum of 40% in Lagos.
He averred that This Day projections ignored many important electoral parameters that have operated in the polity for more than 60 years.
“I wish to say categorically and with a very high sense of responsibility and objectivity, that the projections are false, bogus and do not represent the actual situation on ground across the nation. They are essentially aimed at misinforming the public.
“Peter Obi will win and lead massively in the SE averagely (70%) including all states in the SS. In the SW, PO will score min of 40% in Lagos. 25% in Ogun, Oyo, Ekiti and Ondo. Osun 15% min. NW 40% min in Kaduna and no less than 10% of all the other 6 states mainly because of Igbo residents.
“This Day projections ignored many important electoral parameters that hv operated in our polity over more than 60yrs. Without any doubt PO will score 25% in no less than 24/25 states including Taraba, Adamawa and Gombe and will lead all the other 3 numerically. He is d candidate to beat,” Okupe stated.
TNG reports ThisDay projected 21 states for the presidential candidate of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), Atiku Abubakar, where he is certain to get 25 per cent, while his All Progressives Congress (APC) rival, Bola Tinubu, is confident of 20 states, where he can also pull his weight.
The candidates of the Labour Party, and New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP), Rabiu Kwankwaso, follow as third and fourth in that order with insignificant postings in many states to satisfy the constitutional requirement of 25 per cent of votes cast in 24 states, according to ThisDay.
According to the projections by ThisDay 2023 Election Centre, a run-off is very much likely for the 2023 presidential election.