President Bola Tinubu, in his inauguration speech on Monday, announced the end of fuel subsidy that resulted to high prices and long queues nationwide.
Barely 48 hours after the announcement, Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC), Limited fixed the price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), at N488 and N555 per litre at the peak.
In fabuary 2023, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has urged the Nigerian government to deliver on its commitment to remove fuel subsidies by mid-2023.
The Washington-based lender in a report titled ‘IMF Executive Board Concludes 2022 Article IV Consultation with Nigeria’ said Nigeria’s economy has recouped the output losses sustained during the COVID-19 pandemic supported by favourable oil prices and buoyant consumption activities.
Reacting to the development, the Trade Union Congress of Nigeria, (TUC) rejected the removal of fuel subsidy as announced by the president saying that ‘it is a joke taken too far’.
Economists have highlighted the following 10 benefits of fuel subsidy removal:
1. Infrastructural Development: Frees up public funds for more meaningful infrastructure and developmental program that stimulates industrialization, create jobs, economic growth and social prosperity. For example:
Almost N12 trillion spent on subsidy in the last 4 years is more than sufficient to develop any of the following project:
-2,400, hospitals of 1000 bed capacity across 774 LGA
-or 500,000 new houses to provide shelter to over 3.5 million Nigerians
-or 27GW of electricity generation
-or skill up and provide education up to tertiary levels for over 2 million Nigerians
2. Grow Domestic Refining: Subsidy removal creates a market reflective downstream which invariably stimulates more downstream investments especially in the domestic refining space, thereby creating more jobs, prosperity and growth.
3. Reduce Gasoline Smuggling and Diversion: The removal of fuel subsidy eliminates the unhealthy price arbitrage with neighboring countries thereby preventing the diversion and smuggling of gasoline outside the Nations borders which bleeds our economy.
4. Reduce Corruption: It also reduces corruption surrounding internal product diversion as many marketers procure gasoline at subsidized regulated wholesale prices but still sell at deregulated retail prices.
5. Resource Rebalancing: The rich benefit more from the subsidy than the poor as they have higher number and capacity of vehicles to buy more gasoline; removal of the subsidy creates an opportunity to redistribute this benefit directly to those who need it more.
6. Stimulate Responsible Consumption reducing Waste: Waste makes want. Subsidy removal enable responsible gasoline consumption which reduces waste as the prices is more market reflective and the demand for the product will rebalance itself with the new price realities
7. Grow upstream Production: Subsidy removal allows the full recovery of upstream revenues which enables reinvestment required to grow our national petroleum production and reserves and overall forex earnings.
8. Strengthen the Naira: Growth of our forex earnings combined with reduction in product consumption reduces pressure on forex thereby strengthening the Naira.
9. Reduce Product Scarcity: Open market reflective prices, brings in more players, creates a more efficient market thereby reducing fuel scarcity and its adverse effects on the economy.
10. Reduce Growing Deficit and Public Debt: Subsidy removal reduces the growing and unsustainable Budget deficit and consequently the debt burden creating a more robust economic and sustainable future.